Brief on NATO & Ukraine

NATO official website

North Atlantic Treaty Organization: Members

Canada

United States of America

Albania

Belgium

Bulgaria

Croatia 

Czech Republic 

Denmark 

Estonia 

France 

Germany 

Greece 

Hungary 

Iceland 

Italy 

Latvia

Lithuania 

Luxembourg 

Montenegro 

Netherlands 

North Macedonia 

Norway 

Poland

Portugal 

Romania 

Slovakia 

Slovenia 

Spain 

Turkey 

United Kingdom

NATO Official:The North Atlantic Treaty Washington D.C. - 4 April 1949 

Cited 

'Article 4

The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened.'

'Article 5

The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area. Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security . '

'Article 6

1 For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack: on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America, on the Algerian Departments of France 2, on the territory of Turkey or on the Islands under the jurisdiction of any of the Parties in the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer; on the forces, vessels, or aircraft of any of the Parties, when in or over these territories or any other area in Europe in which occupation forces of any of the Parties were stationed on the date when the Treaty entered into force or the Mediterranean Sea or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer. 1. The definition of the territories to which Article 5 applies was revised by Article 2 of the Protocol to the North Atlantic Treaty on the accession of Greece and Turkey signed on 22 October 1951.'

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Opinion

'The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all' 

If indeed some of the Canadian media speculation is correct and President Putin will attempt to reinstate the former Soviet Union and the Soviet Bloc; World War III is an actual, reasonable, possibility. Therefore a nuclear war would be an actual, reasonable, possibility.

I am not predicting either World War III or a nuclear war. Based on my limited reading and listening, a cold war seems more likely to occur.

I would fully support people leaving Ukraine at this point as historically invading forces, especially with totalitarian regimes, often rape and pillage, besides occupying with military force.